XLV Riunione Scientifica
(Padova, 16-18 giugno 2010)
ISBN 978-88-6129-566-7
Editore: CLEUP – Padova

 

Plenary Session

James J. Heckman, University of Chicago, USA
Structural vis-à-vis reduced form estimation of program effects

George Casella, University of Florida, USA
Estimation in Dirichlet process random effect models

Paul Boyle, University of St Andrews, UK
Space, migration and health: learning from routine data

Enrico Giovannini, ISTAT, Rome
Statistics, knowledge and policy: towards a new paradigm

 

 

I	Enrico Rettore, University of Padua	James J. Heckman, University of Chicago, USA	Structural vis-à-vis reduced form estimation of program effects
II	Gabriella Salinetti, University of Rome “La Sapienza”	George Casella, University of Florida, USA	Estimation in Dirichlet process random effect models
III	Silvana Salvini, University of Florence	Paul Boyle, University of St Andrews, UK	Space, migration and health: learning from routine data
IV	Maurizio Vichi, University of Rome “La Sapienza”	Enrico Giovannini, ISTAT, Rome	Statistics, knowledge and policy: towards a new paradigm

 

Contributed Sessions

• Small area estimation

Morales D., Pagliarella M.C., Salvatore R.
Influence analysis in small area estimation

Fabrizi Enrico, Pratesi Monica, Salvati Nicola, Tzavidis Nikos
Design consistent small area estimators based on M-quantile regression

Roberto Benedetti, Danila Filipponi, Federica Piersimoni
Multiple imputation in land cover EBLUP estimates

Giorgio E. Montanari, M. Giovanna Ranalli and Cecilia Vicarelli
A comparison of small area estimators of counts aligned with direct higher level estimates

• Clustering methods: theory and applications

Francesco Lagona
Model-based classification of clustered binary data with non ignorable missing values

Luca Scrucca
Genetic algorithms for subset selection in model-based clustering

F. Marta L. Di Lascio, Alberto Roverato
Partial ordering of dissimilarity measures for gene clustering

Riccardo De Bin,  Davide Risso
A nonparametric algorithm for clustering microarray data

• Energy statistics and changing market dynamics

Renato Guseo
Worldwide Cheap and Heavy Oil Productions: A Long Term Energy Model

Alessandra Dalla Valle, Claudia Furlan
Forecasting accuracy of the Generalized Bass Model versus the most widespread diffusion models in wind power system

Angelica Gianfreda, Luigi Grossi
Fractional integration models for Italian electricity zonal prices

Fany Nan, Silvano Bordignon, Derek W. Bunn, Francesco Lisi
Forecasting Electricity Spot Prices: Assessing the Performance of Linear and Nonlinear Specifications

• Methods for Constructing Composite Indicators

Claudia Brunini, Francesca Paradisi
A composite indicator for the measurement of infrastructures endowment – Experiences in Istat

Francesco Vidoli, Claudio Mazziotta
Spatial Composite and Disaggregate Indicators: Chow-Lin Methods and Applications

Matteo Mazziotta and Adriano Pareto
A Generalized Composite Index based on Non-substitutability of Individual Indicators

Roberto Gismondi, Massimo Alfonso Russo
Evaluation of Academic Synthetic Indicators

• Time series analysis

Alessandra Amendola,Marcella Niglio, Cosimo Damiano Vitale
Threshold Moving Average Models Invertibility

Maria Iannario, Domenico Piccolo
Spectral decomposition of the AR metric

Giovanni Fonseca, Luca Grassetti
Multidimensional time series model estimation in presence of partially missing observations

Tommaso Di Fonzo, Marco Marini
Benchmarking and movement preservation. Evidences from real-life and simulated series

• Topics in modern statistical Inference

Cinzia Carota, Caterina Conigliani
A note on Bayesian hypothesis testing for the scalar skew-normal distribution

Francesco Pauli, Gianfranco Adimari
Bayesian inference with a pairwise likelihood: an approach based on empirical likelihood

Piercesare Secchi, Aymeric Stamm, Simone Vantini
Large p Small n: Inference for the Mean

Ventura Laura, Racugno Walter
A note on the relationships between Bayesian and non-Bayesian predictive inference

• Statistical analysis of University systems

Emanuele Dequarti, Simone Gerzeli, Paolo Giudici
Career opportunities and training satisfaction among Ph.d. graduates: Application of an index for ordinal data according to the stochastic dominance approach

Antonella D’Agostino, Giulio Ghellini, Laura Neri
Monitoring, Measuring and Assessing the Italian Ph.D. System

Matilde Bini, Leonardo Grilli, Carla Rampichini
Contextual factors of the external effectiveness of the university education: a multilevel approach

Domenico De Stefano, Maria Prosperina Vitale and Susanna Zaccarin
The scientific collaboration network of Italian academic statisticians

• Causal inference: methods and applications

F. Busillo, T. Muccigrosso, G. Pellegrini, O. Tarola, F. Terribile)
Measuring the Impact of the European Regional Policy on Economic Growth: a Regression Giuseppe

Gabrielli and Gianpiero Dalla-Zuanna
Discontinuity Design Approach (Formal and Informal Childcare in Italy and its Regions)

Andrea Mercatanti
Semiparametric methods for causal inference: the effect of debit cards on households’ spending

Alessandra Mattei, Fabrizia Mealli and Barbara Pacini
Exploiting multivariate outcomes in Bayesian inference for causal effects with noncompliance

• Spatial and spatio-temporal analysis: environmental and social applications

Michela Cameletti, Rosaria Ignaccolo
Comparing spatio-temporal hierarchical models for air quality data

Alessandro Fassò, Francesco Finazzi
Air quality mapping using the dynamic coregionalization model

Giulia Roli, Rossella Miglio, Rosella Rettaroli and Alessandra Samoggia
The longevity pattern in Emilia Romagna: a spatio-temporal analysis

Rosario D’Agata, Venera Tomaselli
Spatial Analysis for Electoral Data: the Spread of Territorial Parties in Italy

• Developments in Bayesian statistics

Serena Arima, Giovanni Petris, Luca Tardella)
Alternative rare events probability estimation (

Annalisa Cerquetti
Bayesian nonparametric analysis for a species sampling model with finitely many types

Stefania Gubbiotti, Fulvio De Santis
Monitoring of sequential trials using a robust Bayesian stopping rule

Francesco Claudio Stingo, Marina Vannucci, Gerard Downey
Wavelet-based Variable Selection for Discriminant Analysis with Markov Random Tree Priors

• Economic statistics

Maria Rosaria Ferrante, Marzia Freo
Adjusting the Internationalization Productivity Premium for Firms Heterogeneity by using the Quantile Regression Decomposition

Elvio Mattioli, Giuseppe Ricciardo Lamonica
An analysis of methods to make consistent the binary matrices comparisons

Vittorio Nicolardi
Simultaneous I-O tables balancing at current and constant prices

Fabio Bacchini, Annarita Mancini
An indicator of Italian inventories: preliminary analysis

• Statistical methods for the analysis of financial data

Massimiliano Caporin, Gabriel G. Velo

Modeling and Forecasting Realized Range Volatility

Edoardo Otranto
A GARCH-Volatility Dependent DCC Model

Michele Costa, Luca De Angelis
Latent Class Analysis for Portfolio Choice

Raffaella Calabrese
Regression for Recovery Rates with both Continuous and Discrete Characteristics

• Health service research

Vincenzo Atella, Marianna Brunetti
Household Portfolio Choices, Health status and National Health Care Systems

M. Angelici
Does Hospital ownership influence quality of care?

Alfonso Piscitelli, Vittorio D’Alterio
Medical Staff Attitudes Towards Patients in Acute Pain: An Application of Categorical Principal Component Analysis

Elena Pirani and Silvana Salvini
Exploring Differences in the Recourse to Health Services in Italy through Latent Class Analysis

• Advances in survey methodology

Pier Luigi Conti, Daniela Marella, Mauro Scanu
Uncertainty in statistical matching under logical constraints: a nonparametric approach

Marco Bee and Roberto Benedetti
Simulation of the Multivariate Generalized Hyperbolic Distribution using Adaptive Importance Sampling

Riccardo Borgoni, Donata Marasini, Piero Quatto
Symmetric association measures in effect-control sampling

Sabrina Giordano, Giovanni Latorre, Pier Francesco Perri
Comparing Unrelated Question Models from a Privacy Protection Perspective

• Migration and foreign population

Mario Albisinni, Federica Pintaldi
A new classification of migration through a multidimensional approach

Oliviero Casacchia, Piero Giorgi, Cecilia Reynaud, Salvatore Strozza, Enrico Tucci
Italians’ and Foreigners’ Internal Mobility in Italy: an Application of Gravitational Models

Cinzia Castagnaro, Cinzia Conti, Antonella Guarneri
Foreigners in Italy: characteristics and behaviours’ changes over the last ten years

Cinzia Conti, Antonella Guarneri, Enrico Tucci
Internal migration flows: a comparison between Italian and foreign population

• Quality and organization in National Statistical Institutes

Vincenzo Lo Moro
New vision and traceability of European Official Statistics: consequences for Quality Managerial Tools

Simona Pace, Riccardo Carbini, Concetta Pellegrini, Maria Cara
Connecting quality and planning systems in the Italian National Statistical Office

Concetta Ferruzzi
Organizational support for Statistical Production in the National Statistical Institutes (NSIs)

Antonella Baldassarini, Federica Battellini, Nadia Di Veroli
Towards a system of supervisory and control for national accounts

• Modelling social phenomena

Maria Cristiana Martini, Cristiano Vanin
A Measure of Poverty Based on the Rasch Model

Simona Monteleone, Benedetto Torrisi
Regression models for estimating the propensity to return of the brain drain in Italy

Bruno Arpino, Roberta Varriale
A Monte-Carlo study to evaluate value-added models for institutions’ rankings

Giaimo R., Bono F., Lo Magno G. L.
Interpreting the Decomposition of the Gender Earnings Gap

Omar Paccagnella, Roberta Varriale
Asset ownership of the elderly across Europe: A multilevel latent class analysis to segment country and households

• Cost of children and human capital

Marcantonio Caltabiano, Alessandro Rosina)
An analysis of late fertility in Italy: the role of education

Gustavo De Santis, Giambattista Salinari
The Determinants of Income Dynamics

Gustavo De Santis, Mauro Maltagliati
Clusters and Equivalence Scales

Maria Letizia Tanturri
Determinants of childlessness among men and women: do they differ?

• Robust Methods

Mario Romanazzi, Claudio Agostinelli
Depth Advances

Giovanni C. Porzio, Giancarlo Ragozini
Convex Hull Probability Depth: first results

Matteo M. Pelagatti, Pranab K. Sen
A robust version of the KPSS test based on ranks

Tiziano Bellini
Robust Data Envelopment Analysis

• Applications in Bayesian statistics

Serena Broccoli, Giulia Cavrini
A Bayesian IRT for mixed responses and skew latent variable

Daniela Marella, Paola Vicard
Measurement Error Modelling using Object-Oriented Bayesian Networks

Julia Mortera, Cecilia Vergari, Paola Vicard
Object-Oriented Bayesian Networks for firms’ collusion strategies

Bruno Scarpa
Customer base segmentation of a telecommunication company by using Bayesian semi-parametric analysis of traffic data

• Survey sampling theory

Chao, Chang-Tai, Dryver, Arthur L., Chiang, Tzu-Ching
Utilizing the Rao-Blackwellization Technique to Improve Ratio Estimators in Adaptive Cluster Sampling

Giancarlo Diana, Marlies Ranieri
Improved estimators of a sensitive proportion through randomized response technique

Giuseppe Cicchitelli, Giorgio E. Montanari
Model-assisted estimation of a spatial population mean

Adriano Pareto, Antonio Pavone
Balancing and Calibration in Survey Sampling: A Simulation Study

• Distribution theory and statistical inference

Francesca Condino, Filippo Domma
The Beta-Dagum Distribution

Angiola Pollastri, Giovanni Zambruno
The Distribution of the Ratio of Two Independent Dagum Random Variables

Renato Coppi, Maria Brigida Ferraro, Paolo Giordani
A class of linear regression models for imprecise random elements

Michela Battauz
Laplace approximation for measurement error correction in generalized linear (mixed) models

• Econometrics/financial data analysis

Luca Fanelli
Testing Determinacy Versus Indeterminacy and Omitted Dynamics in Linear Rational Expectations Models

Paolo Giudici, Silvia Figini
Risk tendency measures for ordinal variables

Luca Bagnato, Antonio Punzo
Checking Serial Independence of Residuals from a Nonlinear Model

Lucio De Capitani
Point and interval estimation for some financial performance measures

• Experimental design and industrial statistics

Riccardo Borgoni, Luigi Radaelli, Valeria Tritto, Diego Zappa
Optimal reduction of a monitoring grid for SiO2 deposition surface over a wafer for semiconductor devices

Roberto Fontana, Giovanni Pistone
Algebraic generation of Orthogonal Fractional Factorial Designs

Nuno Crato, Ana Diniz,, João Barreiros
Long Memory and Nonstationarity in Time Perception Models

Pasquale Erto, Antonio Lepore
A Note on the Plotting Position Controversy and a New Distribution-free Formula

• Statistics and the web

Silvia Biffignandi, Enrico Fabrizi, Daniele Toninelli
The Effects of Non-Response Reweighting on Estimators’ Precision in a Web Survey

Fabio Crescenzi, Daniele Frongia, Eric Sanna
Statistics, Web: Who Needs Who?

Remo Catenaro)
New SAS(r) Text Analytics – Maximize the value buried in your unstructured data assets

• Analysis of functional, symbolic data

Laura M. Sangalli, Piercesare Secchi, Simone Vantini, Valeria Vitelli
Functional clustering, alignment

Simone Di Zio, Luigi Ippoliti, Arcangelo Merla
Features Extraction, Classification of Raynaud’s Phenomenon by IR Images

Davide Pigoli, Laura M. Sangalli
Wavelet smoothing for curves in more than one dimension

M.R. D’Esposito, F. Palumbo, G. Ragozini
Archetypal Symbolic Objects

• Models for statistical inference

Anna Dembińska
Asymptotic properties of numbers of observations near order statistics

S. M. T. K. Mirmostafaee, J. Ahmadi)
Prediction of Future Order Statistics Coming from Pareto Model

N. Balakrishnan, Katherine F. Davies, Jerome P. Keating, R.L. Mason
Simultaneous Closeness among Order Statistics to Population Quantiles

Luigi Malagò, Giovanni Pistone
A note on the border of an exponential family

• Health, family well-being

Stefano Mazzuco, Silvia Meggiolaro
Family resources, health behaviours in adolescence

Emiliano Sironi, Francesco C. Billari
Do union formation, childbearing improve subjective well-being? An application of propensity score matching to a Bulgarian panel

Egidi V., Salvatore M.A., Gargiulo L., Iannucci L., Sebastiani G., Tinto A.)
Dementia in the elderly. Health consequences on household members (

Giulia Cavrini, Claudia Di Priamo, Lorella Sicuro, Alessandra Battisti, Alessandro Solipaca, Giovanni de Girolamo
Health, Functional Status in Elderly Patients Living in Residential Facilities in Italy

• Inequality Measures

Michele Zenga
More on a new three-parameter distribution for non-negative variables

Achille Vernizzi, Maria Giovanna Monti, Mauro Mussini
A Gini and Concentration Index Decomposition with an Application to the APK Reranking Measure

Francesca Greselin, Leo Pasquazzi, Ričardas Zitikis
Asymptotic Theory for Zenga’s New Index of Economic Inequality

Francesca Greselin, Leo Pasquazzi
Dagum confidence intervals for inequality measures

• Advances in inequality, poverty, welfare measurement 1

Margherita Gerolimetto, Stefano Magrini
Income convergence, spatial dependence

Elena Pirani, Silvana Schifini
On the Perception of Social Exclusion in the EU27: Concepts, Empirical Investigation

Daria Mendola, Annalisa Busetta
Understanding youth chronic poverty in South of Europe

Maria Francesca Cracolici, Francesca Giambona
Assessment of Subjective Economic Well-being in Italy

• Applied Bayesian hierarchical models

Matilde Trevisani, Alan Gelfand
Atom-based models for misaligned data integration, benchmarking in small area estimation

Alessandra Guglielmi, Francesca Ieva, Anna M. Paganoni, Fabrizio Ruggeri
A hierarchical random-effects model for survival in patients with Acute Myocardial Infarction

Laura Grisotto, Dolores Catelan, Annibale Biggeri
Material Deprivation, Incidence of Lung Cancer: a Census Block Analysis

Stefano Marchetti, Claudia Dolci, Samantha Riccadonna, Cesare Furlanello)
Bayesian Hierarchical Model for Small Area Disease Mapping: a Breast Cancer Study

• Data quality, errors detection in statistical surveys

Francesca Torti, Domenico Perrotta
Detection of gross anomalies in datasets used for official statistics production

Gianpiero Bianchi, Renato Bruni, Alessandra Reale
Open Source Integer Linear Programming Solvers for Error Localization in Numerical Data

Sebastiani G., Tinto A., Battisti A., De Palma E.
Cognitive Interviewing as a Tool for Improving Data Quality in Surveys: Experiences in Istat

Scarnò Marco, Caramanna Laura
Two algorithms for Error Localization Problems

• Hypothesis testing

J.J. Goeman, A. Solari, T. Stijnen
Multiple hypotheses for multiple decisions

Marco Marozzi
A Location-Scale Permutation Test

Claudio G. Borroni, Paola M. Chiodini
A new goodness-of-fit version of the Girone-Cifarelli test

Paola Rebora, Stefania Galimberti
A robust approach to one-sample tests for recurrent events

• Analysis of correlated data

Marco Alfò, Jeanine J. Houwing-Duistermaat,Alessandra Spagnoli
Mixed effect models for longitudinal responses: Leiden 85-Plus Study

Manuela Cattelan, Cristiano Varin
A Model for Correlated Paired Comparison Data

Roberto Colombi
A Skew Normal Stochastic Frontier Model for Panel Data

Laura Azzimonti, Claudia De Lalla, Daniela Montagna, Laura M. Sangalli, Anna Maria Paganoni
Mixed-effects models for growth curves: an application to the study of reconstitution kinetics of lymphocyte subpopulations

• Survey methodology

Paola M. Chiodini, Bianca M. Martelli, Giancarlo Manzi, Flavio Verrecchia)
Between Theoretical, Applied Approach: Which Compromise for Unit Allocation in Business Surveys?

Claudia De Vitiis, Paolo Righi
Sampling solutions to the problem of undercoverage in CATI household surveys due to the use of fixed telephone list

Veronica Rondinelli, Emanuela Scavalli
A focus on a new approach to weighting in official sample surveys: the smoothed estimator

• Life course analysis, family

Daniele Vignoli
Human Capital, the First Child in Italy

Letizia Mencarini, Silvana Salvini, Luca Secondi, Daniele Vignoli
Having Children in Italy: From Intentions to Realizations

Giulia Rivellini, Susanna Zaccarin
Relational Strategies in Italian Young Family Keepers

Silvia Meggiolaro, Fausta Ongaro
Late maternal age, parenting practices

• Advances in inequality, poverty, welfare measurement 2

Paolo Giordani, Giovanni Maria Giorgi
Poverty Measures in a Fuzzy Logic Framework

Vijay Verma, Francesca Gagliardi, Caterina Ferretti
Cumulation of poverty measures to meet new policy needs

Donatella Grassi, Nicoletta Pannuzi, Isabella Siciliani
New Measures Of Poverty: The Absolute, Extreme Poverties

Caterina Giusti, Stefano Marchetti, Monica Pratesi, Nicola Salvati
A semiparametric Fay-Herriot model for small area estimation of welfare indicators

• Epidemiology

Cinzia Mortarino
Models for diffusion of innovations, Cellular Automata: an epidemiological application to pleural mesothelioma

Dolores Catelan, Annibale Biggeri
Statistical Approaches for Parasitic Profiling in Veterinary Epidemiology

Francesca Ieva, Anna Maria Paganoni, Piercesare Secchi
Data mining the Lombardia Public Health Database: a pilot case study on hospital discharge data for Acute Myocardial Infarctions

Stefano Baraldo, Francesca Ieva, Anna Maria Paganoni, Valeria Vitelli
Statistical models for hazard functions: a case study of hospitalizations in health failure telemonitoring

• Change points in time series, panel data

Carmela Cappelli, Francesca Di Iorio
Detecting contemporaneous mean co-breaking via ART

Francesca Di Iorio, Stefano Fachin
Testing for Cointegration with Breaks in Dependent Panels

Giuseppe Rossi, Simone Del Sarto, Marco Marchi
Approximate Poisson CUSUM charts for the monitoring of time series with time-varying mean

Sergueï Dachian, Ilia Negri
On Gaussian Compound Poisson Type Limiting Likelihood Ratio Process

• Measuring dependence

Anna Gottard
Stumbling across symmetries

M. Sofia Massa
Numerical studies on covariance selection problems

Silvia Angela Osmetti
Parametric, non-parametric estimate of bivariate survival functions: the copula approach

Paolo Giudici, Emanuela Raffinetti
Lorenz zonoids, dependence measures: a proposal

• Statistical models for the analyis of demographic phenomena

Federico Benassi, Raffaele Ferrara
Regionalization with dynamically constrained agglomerative clustering, partitioning. An application on spatial segregation of foreign population in Italy at regional level

Elisabetta Santarelli
Economic resources, marital childbearing in Italy between 1994, 2004

Agnese Vitali, Bruno Arpino
Home leaving among second generation migrants in Spain: A Cross-classified Multilevel Analysis

Claudio Ceccarelli, Andrea Cutillo
The wage returns from internal relocation

Specialized Session

• A non-random sample of Statistics in the U.K.

Alan Kimber, Ali Yousef
The sensitivity of the Triple Sampling Sequential Procedure to Departures from Normality

(Michael J Campbell, Suzanne Mason, Jon Nicholl)
Relative Risks, Odds Ratios, Cluster Randomised Trials

Robin Mitra, Jerome P. Reiter
An approach to impute missing covariates in observational studies when estimating treatment effects with propensity score matching

• Statistical methods for evaluation of educational services

Enrico Gori
Accountability Systems in Education

Roberto Ricci
The Economic, Social, Cultural Background: a continuous index for the Italian Students of the fifth grade

Tommaso Agasisti
The determinants of students’ achievement: a multilevel analysis of new Italian data

• Statistical methods for business, industry

Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan
Generalized Gamma Frailty Model, Applications

Chiara Bocci, Alessandra Petrucci
Statistical Methods for the Analysis of Spatial Patterns: a Geoadditive Approach

Renato Salvatore
Technical efficiency estimators in linear mixed effects stochastic production frontier models

• Nonparametric methods

Ludwig A. Hothorn, Frank Konietschke
Evaluation of clinical dose finding studies using a non-parametric Shirley-type trend test for relative effects

Roberta Siciliano, Valerio A. Tutore, Massimo Aria, Antonio D’Ambrosio
Trees with leaves, without leaves

Tommaso Proietti, Alessandra Luati
Low-Pass Filter Design using Locally Weighted Polynomial Regression, Discrete Prolate Spheroidal Sequences

• Short glance on French Statistic

Luca Scrucca, Avner Bar-Hen
A model-based dimension reduction approach to classification of gene expression data

Farouk Mhamdi, Mériem Jaïdane-Saïdane,, Jean-Michel Poggi
Empirical Mode Decomposition for Trend Extraction. Application to Electrical Data

Jean-Michel Marin, Christian Robert
Recent Advances in ABC (Approximate Bayesian Computation) methodology

• Regression models for longitudinal multivariate, discrete data

Vassilis Vasdekis, Silvia Cagnone, Irini Moustaki
A comparison of a pseudo-likelihood estimation, full information maximum likelihood estimation for fitting multivariate longitudinal ordinal data

Dimitris Rizopoulos
Joint Modelling of Longitudinal, Time-to-Event Data: Challenges, Future Directions

Antonello Maruotti, Roberto Rocci
A semiparametric approach to mixed non-homogeneous hidden Markov models

• Statistical models for non sampling errors

Giancarlo Diana, Pier Francesco Perri
Selected Scrambled Response Models

Natalie Shlomo
Measurement Error, Statistical Disclosure Control

Silvia Biffignandi
Modeling non-sampling errors, participation in Web surveys

• Model selection in classification analysis (CLADAG)

Stefan Van Aelst, Gert Willems
Robust Variable Selection in Discriminant Analysis

Salvatore Ingrassia, Simona C. Minotti,, Giorgio Vittadini
ClusterWeighted Modeling with Student-t components

Cinzia Viroli
Classifying three-way data through Matrix-Normal Mixtures

• Skewing symmetry 25 years on

Arthur Pewsey
Sinh-arcsinh Distributions

Barry C. Arnold
Multiple, Non-linear Constraint Models

Stefano Cabras, Maria Eugenia Castellanos
Prior predictive p-values for assessing the Goodness-of-fit of the Skew Normal model.

• New developments in objective Bayesian inference

J.-M. Marin, C.P. Robert
Importance sampling methods for Bayesian discrimination between embedded models

Stefano Cabras
Default priors based on pseudo-likelihoods for the Poisson-GPD model

Alessio Farcomeni, Silvia Pandolfi
Bayesian multivariate latent Markov models with an unknown number of regimes

• Assigning weights, hierarchies to the construction of composite indicators

Michela Gnaldi, Maria Giovanna Ranalli
Composite indicators of scientific research: the robustness of university rankings based on composite measures

Roberto Ciampicacigli
Development of evaluation model of Censis Services on the Italian university system

Sergio Zani, Maria Adele Milioli, Isabella Morlini
Fuzzy Composite Indicators: An Application for Measuring Customer Satisfaction

• Information, forecasting

Francesco Battaglia, Mattheos K. Protopapas
Nonlinear Nonstationary Model Building by Genetic Algorithms

Helmut Lütkepohl
Forecasting Aggregates with Stochastic Aggregation Weights

Francesco D’Amuri, Juri Marcucci
“Google it!”. Forecasting the US unemployment rate with a Google job search index

• Statististics of extremes in today’s world

Isabel Fraga Alves, Laurens de Haan, Cláudia Neves
Ana Ferreira
Spatial Extremes, High Quantile Estimation of Aggregated Rainfall

M. Ivette Gomes, Lígia Henriques-Rodrigues, Frederico Caeiro
Refined Estimation of a Light Tail: an Application to a Environmental Data

• New challenges in survey sampling, estimation

Sharon L. Lohr
Dual Frame Surveys: Recent Developments, Challenges

David Haziza
Resampling methods for variance estimation in the presence of missing survey data

Emilia Rocco
Using auxiliary information, non parametric methods in weighting adjustments

• Financial risk modelling

Massimiliano Caporin, Michael McAleer
Comparing Multivariate GARCH Models by Problem Dimension

Giorgia Callegaro, Monique Jeanblanc, Wolfgang Runggaldier
Portfolio Optimization in Defaultable Markets under Incomplete Information

Matteo Grigoletto
Modelling the Dependence in Multivariate Extremes

• Functional analysis for high dimensional data

Lara Fontanella, Luigi Ippoliti, Pasquale Valentini
A Functional Spatio-Temporal Model for Geometric Shape Analysis

Elvira Romano, Antonio Balzanella, Rosanna Verde
A new regionalization method for spatially dependent functional data based on local variogram models: an application on environmental data

Matilde Dalla Rosa, Laura M. Sangalli, Simone Vantini
Data Reduction by means of Principal Differential Analysis: an Application to the Study of the Geometrical Features of the Internal Carotid Artery

• Copulas: Theory, applications

Jadran Dobrić, Gabriel Frahm, Friedrich Schmid)
Dependence of Stock Returns in Bull, Bear Markets

Hans Manner, Johan Segers
Tails of correlation mixtures of elliptical copulas

Julius Schnieders
Forecasting The Value-at-Risk Of Multivariate Portfolios Using Dynamic Pair-Copulas

• Matching techniques, censuses, administrative data

Andrea Tancredi
Capture-recapture models with matching uncertainty

Marcello D’Orazio, Marco Di Zio, Mauro Scanu
Old, new approaches in statistical matching when samples are drawn with complex survey designs

Tiziana Tuoto, Nicoletta Cibella, Marco Fortini, Monica Scannapieco
From theory to practice: the software RELAIS as a solution for record linkage

• Demographic transition, the millennium development goals: how far we are?(AISP)

Anna Paterno
Child mortality, the Millennium Development Goals: characteristics, trends, determinants

Tiziana Leone
Are we there yet? Challenges in measuring MDG5 achievements

Arnstein Aassve, Abbi Kedir
Fertility, the MDG: Does Fertility Decline Lead to Lower Poverty Rates?

• Recent developments in likelihood methods

Veronika Czellar, Elvezio Ronchetti
A New Accurate Test for Indirect Inference

Francesco Bartolucci, Monia Lupparelli
Pairwise likelihood inference for multilevel latent Markov models

Moreno Bevilacqua, Carlo Gaetan
On a pairwise likelihood method for geostatistical data

• PhD Awards

Bruno Arpino
Causal inference for observational studies extended to a multilevel setting. The impact of fertility on poverty in Vietnam

Stefania Gubbiotti
Bayesian methods for sample size determination, their use in clinical trials

Salaris Luisa
Searching for longevity determinants: following survival of newborns in a in-land village in Sardinia (1866-2006)